Our EU Referendum Rationale : Ignore the Stats What are the Facts?
D eciding to Vote Leave, Stay or Abstain is arguably the biggest decision of our lifetime in the UK. It’s not something that should be considered lightly, with passions running so high, the stats are being massaged to suit whatever argument you wish to support. What we have done is base our decision on what we know for sure which is the situation as we know it today.

Organisations such as the IMF, WTO, OECD, CBI, IOD, it could be said, have vested interests and hold a view on predicting an outcome that they cannot possibly know for sure. If they were able to  predict better they would have seen the Credit Crunch. Basing a decision on what might be is farcical to say the least.

It’s a topic that we have been wrestling with ever since the referendum was announced on 19 February 2016. We have looked at the arguments for and against and we have tried to make sense of the situation without prejudice or malice.

Its undeniable that the EU has done great work in environmental protection, greater harmonisation of trade regulations, packaging and transport of goods, workers rights, and health and wellbeing of its citizens. Our beaches are cleaner, the air quality has improved (not in London), and the cost of international travel and communication has halved if not more.  

Its also undeniable that it’s a bureaucratic behemoth with institutions that are riddled with inefficiency and borderline ineptitude that cannot change without treaty change. Now that it's so large it will require agreement from 28 nations to agree unanimously in order to affect a change.

The implication is that the EU will spend decades learning how to govern itself and its citizens and meanwhile the rest of the world will be focussed on improving their financial standing and increasing the living standards and wellbeing of their citizens.

The EU was founded by 5 nations, predominantly driven by France’s fear of the growing economic power of West Germany after the war. It’s a project that will lead to political union, with an army and taxation being run from Brussels and Strasbourg or Berlin, effectively split between the three.

We have never really understood the complexity of the institutions until now (which you can find in our piece on EU Institutions) and what have we learned?

The EU is an experiment in greater political union that has failed.  It’s a failed state before it ever became a superstate.  Its inward looking and hindered by a bureaucracy that renders it ineffectual to manage a populous of advanced nations.  The fact is not all member states are as advanced.  They do not have the protocols, the institutions, the humans rights or the moderate tolerant outlook inside the nation states. 

We have heard all the scare mongering going on if we leave.  The truth for us is; the disadvantages outweigh the advantages.  As a trading block its the slowest growing in the world.  Why, because the vast majority of its population are not geared up to compete on a global scale.  Its inward looking, it's only advantage is in its strength in numbers.  Meanwhile, many a nation within its borders is suffering from 50% and above youth unemployment. It’s an organisation thats driven by fear that many a nation within the EU cannot compete globally alone.  If they could they would.  

We on the other hand can and will.  It's not racist to say that which is the elephant in the room.  On trade and finance alone we have the upper hand. 

What underpins our rationale above and beyond any trade fears is that the EU is an undemocratic construct masquerading as a democracy.  It's a bureaucratic time bomb on the verge of implosion.  The Euro is a failed currency propping up a failed system, with failed politics that dilute the voice of reason.

Business and Lifestyles would be far better managed if it returned to being a trading block or free trade zone without the free movement of peoples.  Advancements in the health and wellbeing of the rest of the world is not as a result of the EU; it could be argued that its happened in spite of the EU with its restrictive practices and anti dumping duties imposed on nations that attempt to trade with the EU and attempt to improve the wellbeing of their citizens.

The EU looks for the best way to govern itself and manage a changing world in systems and processes borne from a mid 20th century ideology that was scarred by a war that ravaged the world. It’s not fit for a dynamic digital world. To vote to stay is to vote for the status quo.  To vote to stay is to say that the EU is correct in how it manages itself, its institutions, its population, its money, its borders, its economic growth.

Which of the above have they got right? Here is a breakdown of the situation as we see it on an issue by issue basis. 

How it manages itself?

Please see the EU at a glance. In order to make changes to how the EU works treaty change is required; in order to get fit for purpose, it will spend a decade trying to correct its flaws and still be playing catch up with the rest of the world. The biggest issue with the EU is it’s economically stagnant in many parts of the EU. Its legislature is not helping improve the dynamism thats needed for innovation and competitiveness.

How its institutions manage and interact with each other?

There are 7 institutions managing 500 million people. There is a democracy that manages nearly double that population with less bureaucracy.  Does the current system work effectively; by almost all accounts on both sides of the debate the EU superstructure does not work as well as it should. Voting to remain means voting for the status quo. Change can only be affected with a treaty change which will take years to achieve given the size and complexity of the current system.

How it manages its population?

Its population is scared, its fearful of uncontrolled migration from outside the EU.  There is 50% youth unemployment and above in vast tracts of the EU. Why, because in the nations concerned, the entrepreneurial climate is dogged by chauvinist cultures that hinder gender equality and or the majority follow a religion that outlaws same sex marriage, contraception, divorce, and LGBT rights.

How it manages its money?

The Euro is in crisis; if it was not in crisis the Greeks would not be in such a situation. Similarly, the same is on the cards with Italy given their balance of payments. What is the likelihood of this implosion not having a negative effect on the ability of the eurozone to recover?

The economic subjugation of Greece is a tragedy rivalling a shakespearean yarn. The restrictions its placed on the people of Greece is anything but democratic.  It is almost practically the indentured labour of a nation for generations to come.

How it manages its borders?

The migrant crisis is  proof that the EU is not managing its borders.  In order to manage its borders it also means having a coherent policy on the safety and stability of those nations that are on its borders. The migrant crisis is not going to improve any time soon and it certainly is not racist to be concerned about unrestricted migration, let alone the refugee or migrant debate.

How it manages its economic growth?

It's the slowest growing in the entire world; Why? Is it something to do with how it manages its processes, its money, its trade, its dynamism, its population, its ability to adapt, its ability to coordinate a coherent response to changes, its ability to rid its self of bureaucracy that stifles entrepreneurialism; it’s a box ticking exercise that keeps its self busy doing the admin and not busy looking outward and exploiting opportunities that can be achieved in a free and fair manner.  Its exploitative and undemocratic insular protectionist conglomerate willing itself into existence as a state which will be its undoing.

Where is it now?

The world has changed from the 1950s when it came into existence. It holds onto a system that is a poor replacement to the old royal houses that ruled post Roman empire.  It's not fit for purpose, it's a flawed system that refuses to look itself in the mirror and admit that it's an overweight, dinosaur that will drive itself into the ground because of its lack of ability to adapt and evolve dynamically.

Darwin’s theory of Evolution if applied to the EU spells it out clearly, and sounds the death knell for the EU experiment.  It’s the bureaucrats and the politicos of the EU that are going to drive it into the sea and disappear from existence within 50 years. If it does not face up to the truth. If it does not change it is doomed. 

It is suffering a terminal illness, that will be a long, slow, painful death; it’s presently undergoing the five stages of grief.  Where on the path is it, Denial, Anger, Bargaining, Depression, or Acceptance?

It’s been bargaining for its existence since 2008 and If you cannot see it for what it is, ask your self the question, where on the five stages of grief are you possibly?

There is no personal attack on any individual, there is not ideological axe to grind. Take a look at that which we state. Whilst we have been busy trying to fight the economic fire that has been running wild for 8 years, the EU as a whole is no better off economically now than it was then.  There is a looming economic meltdown of Italy on the horizon. The eurozone has failed, its arrogance and stubborn pigheadedness that drives them to refuse to admit the truth.

Reverting back to a free trade zone with similar labelling, packaging and environmental protections as well as trade and industrial relations, each member state being able  choose to sell or protect its national assets ,or allow the sale of in full or part to its people via institutions with protections for its nationals underpinned with social justice and individual human rights without free movement, without guaranteed employment and  or contracted for a short or fixed term to boost cross cultural fertilisation;  without the over dependence of one upon another but an interdependence based on symbiotic relationships.  

A communal pot of funds for infrastructure development and social projects, which can benefit the local population in poorer regions can be paid from an increase in our International Development budget, focussed on  creating employment and opportunity for training and education without the EU  bureaucracy that has far more cost than its worth.

This is not a political decision, this is a decision based on how business and lifestyle will better thrive than it is now.  Young people want opportunities, which is not being achieved in Spain, Italy, Portugal, Greece, and elsewhere in the EU. Business and lifestyle works best with minimal state intervention as long as its founded on democracy, human rights, fair trade and sustainability.

So, are we in favour of Britain staying in an EU as it is now? 

No, because to vote to stay is to vote for a system that is not working for its citizens.  Stagnant economic growth, 50%+ youth unemployment, a currency in crisis, and institutions too big and too inefficient to do the job.

The argument that the EU is solely the reason for increased prosperity in the world is ludicrous. research and development in manufacturing, bio-medical science, technology and digital development is as a result of globalised world. 

A world in which the EU is falling behind because they are not competitive, they are not geared up to competing in a global market place. The growth figures prove that without doubt.  That coupled with a currency has failed is another fact. The youth unemployment is another fact. The bureaucratic nightmare is another fact, meanwhile where governments are forced to face ravaging cuts, the EU budget is set to increase. Is that not counter intuitive? 

To vote to leave is the only way to affect positive change in the EU. To remain is not going to change the system which is wanting, to say the very least. 

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